24
Cornelienne
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 89
Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y
#30
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#30
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | BHA92 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-15 | Naas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Dundalk | BHA94 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2024-11-14 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-08-13 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish31st of 336% of fieldRange 11-33 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 31st of 33.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2024 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 06/05/2024 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 11/07/2024 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 13/08/2024 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/11/2024 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 88% | +0.61 |
| 28/11/2025 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 15/12/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 91% | +0.09 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |