16

Eagle Fang
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 92
Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y
#16
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | BHA92 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA90 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | BHA140 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Haydock | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish25th of 3325% of fieldRange 11-33 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 25th of 33.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 25/01/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 95% | +0.95 |
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 01/06/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 27/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 84% | +0.18 |
| 21/08/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |