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17

Galileo Dame

5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 92

Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y

#14

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sole Flat success came in a Leopardstown maiden in 2024. Has acquitted herself with plenty of credit in ultra-competitive staying handicaps this season. Arrives on the back of a creditable 2-length third in 1½ listed event at Galway and stiffer test certainly no harm for this versatile mare.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Leopardstown 01/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 130 · 2m2f Hvy 166 · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 130 par1/021OR 130C8 @ Navan 28/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 129 · 2m Hvy 161 · beat its mark28/02/2026 · OR 129 parBHA90 @ Navan 30/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 90 · 1m6f Hvy 130 · below its mark30/03/2026 · OR 90 par30/0390OR 902 @ Chester 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 93 · 2m2f140y Goo 124 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 93 par2 @ Royal Ascot 16/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 20 · OR 94 · 2m3f210y GF 132 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 94 par16/062OR 941 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 93 · 1m5f200y Goo 135 · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 93 parBHA93 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 20 · OR 93 · 2m179y Yie 165 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 93 par27/0793OR 93BHA92 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 92 · 1m6f14y Yie 126 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 92 par1 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 92 · 1m4f Sft 135 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 92 par8/091OR 92projClass-projected finish: 16th of 33
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Galway13rd3rd0
2026-07-31GalwayBHA923rd3rd0
2026-07-27GalwayBHA9310th10th0
2026-07-08Fairyhouse17th7th0
2026-06-16Royal Ascot27th7th0
2026-05-08Chester24th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/028/0527/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 3350% of fieldRange 14-33 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength12%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 17th of 33.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/02/202610th20/10%47%+0.47
28/02/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
30/03/20262nd3/184%90%+0.06
08/05/20264th6/168%79%+0.10
16/06/20267th14/126%68%+0.42
08/07/20267th17/255%25%-0.30
27/07/202610th15/261%53%-0.08
31/07/20263rd5/287%60%-0.27
08/09/20263rd18/15%87%+0.81