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18

Glenroyal

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 92

Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y

#33

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#33

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't entirely proved his stamina in a handful of starts over staying trips, latterly when eighth behind stable Comfort Zone at Galway. Now back up in trip sporting more headgear, having not been disgraced in 13f handicap at Leopardstown. Doesn't look the obvious hope for yard with strong hand.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA63 @ Tipperary 02/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 63 · 1m1f Goo 133 · beat its mark02/07/2025 · OR 63 par2/0763OR 63BHA66 @ Galway 31/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 66 · 1m4f Sft 125 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 66 parBHA66 @ Galway 01/08/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 66 · 1m6f14y Yie 133 · below its mark01/08/2025 · OR 66 par1/0866OR 66BHA77 @ Down Royal 29/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 77 · 1m4f194y Yie 130 · beat its mark29/09/2025 · OR 77 parBHA85 @ Roscommon 13/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 85 · 1m2f95y Sft 137 · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 85 par13/1085OR 85C8 @ Killarney 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 2m4f50y Goo 1582 @ Royal Ascot 16/06/2026 · Pos 19th of 20 · OR 93 · 2m3f210y GF 130 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 93 par16/062OR 93BHA92 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 20 · OR 92 · 2m179y Yie 164 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 92 parBHA91 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 18th of 21 · OR 91 · 1m5f Gd 128 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 91 par12/0991OR 91projClass-projected finish: 30th of 33
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12LeopardstownBHA9118th18th0
2026-07-27GalwayBHA928th8th0
2026-06-16Royal Ascot219th19th0
2026-05-11Killarney?7th7th0
2025-10-13RoscommonBHA851st1st0
2025-09-29Down RoyalBHA771st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0729/0916/0612/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish27th of 3319% of fieldRange 6-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength37%

Delivery trend +6.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 27th of 33. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/07/20253rd9/276%83%+0.07
31/07/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
01/08/202515th10/1195%7%-0.89
29/09/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
13/10/20251st8/1196%100%+0.04
11/05/20267th14/126%45%+0.19
16/06/202619th25/10%5%+0.05
27/07/20268th33/10%63%+0.63
12/09/202618th40/10%15%+0.15