19
Granite Bay
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 92
Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y
#27
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#27
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Chester | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA92 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Curragh | BHA89 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | BHA89 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | BHA88 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Naas | BHA87 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish21st of 3338% of fieldRange 4-31 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 21st of 33. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 5th | 11/8 | 93% | 20% | -0.73 |
| 01/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.20 |
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 12/10/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 84% | +0.42 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 09/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 63% | -0.09 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 68% | -0.13 |
| 12/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |