8
Holy See
5yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 101
Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y
#25
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#25
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Chester | 2 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA98 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Curragh | BHA98 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gowran Park | BHA93 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Punchestown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Limerick | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish24th of 3328% of fieldRange 7-33 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength19%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 24th of 33.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 21/04/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 29/12/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 26/01/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 03/06/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 27/07/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 95% | +0.95 |
| 12/09/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |