14
Immutable
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 86
Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | BHA85 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA85 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Cork | BHA84 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Curragh | BHA86 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Thurles | BHA122 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-11 | Punchestown | BHA123 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 3394% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +8.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 33. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2025 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 19/10/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.13 |
| 11/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 18/01/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 03/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 93% | +0.19 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 94% | +0.57 |
| 12/09/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |