26
Light Up The Dark
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 89
Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y
#21
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#21
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Killarney | BHA89 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA89 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | BHA89 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Gowran Park | BHA81 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Bellewstown | BHA82 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-30 | Galway | BHA78 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 3356% of fieldRange 11-28 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 15th of 33. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2025 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 27/05/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/07/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 88% | +0.09 |
| 26/08/2025 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 57% | -0.34 |
| 08/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 27/07/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 58% | +0.03 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |