20
Port Of Spain
3yo Colt · 8-13 · OR 101
Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y
#13
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | BHA102 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | BHA102 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Leopardstown | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 3391% of fieldRange 1-22 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength81%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 33. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 18/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 26/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 56% | -0.05 |
| 17/06/2026 | 11th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 31/07/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |