27
Shosholoza
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 98
Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y
#22
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#22
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA100 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | 1 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Tipperary | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish32nd of 333% of fieldRange 33-33 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 32nd of 33. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 26/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/05/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |