15
Sky Captain
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 93
Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y
#26
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#26
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | BHA92 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | BHA92 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Killarney | BHA92 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Galway | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-07-01 | Roscommon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 3359% of fieldRange 3-20 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 14th of 33.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 80% | -0.14 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 76% | +0.18 |