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6

The Reverend

5yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 103

Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Progressive handicapper for William Haggas last autumn. Showed bundles of potential in a couple of hurdle starts prior to running a cracker when 1-length fourth in a Premier Handicap at Leopardstown on return. In excellent hands for first tilt at 2m on the Flat and likely has a valuable pot in him.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Hamilton 23/08/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 86 · 1m3f15y Hvy 136 · beat its mark23/08/2024 · OR 86 par23/082OR 862 @ Ascot 07/09/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 86 · 1m3f211y Sft 124 · beat its mark07/09/2024 · OR 86 par2 @ York 11/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 95 · 1m5f188y Sft 135 · beat its mark11/10/2024 · OR 95 par11/102OR 952 @ Doncaster 26/10/2024 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR 95 · 1m2f43y Sft 135 · beat its mark26/10/2024 · OR 95 par2 @ York 14/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 95 · 1m3f188y Goo 127 · beat its mark14/05/2025 · OR 95 par14/052OR 952 @ Ripon 19/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 94 · 1m4f10y Sft 142 · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 94 par2 @ Haydock 06/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 98 · 1m6f1y Gd 131 · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 98 par6/092OR 98C8 @ Cork 03/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 2m190y Yie 166BHA103 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 21 · OR 103 · 1m5f Gd 140 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 103 par12/09103OR 103projClass-projected finish: 1st of 33
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12LeopardstownBHA1034th4th0
2026-02-01Leopardstown10
2026-01-03Cork?1st1st0
2025-09-06Haydock21st1st0
2025-07-19Ripon21st1st0
2025-05-14York25th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0826/106/0912/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 33100% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 33. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20242nd1/195%86%-0.09
07/09/20241st4/179%100%+0.21
11/10/20244th11/893%50%-0.43
26/10/20249th5/287%50%-0.37
14/05/20255th2/189%64%-0.26
19/07/20251st4/797%100%+0.03
06/09/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
03/01/20261st4/1198%100%+0.02
12/09/20264th14/126%85%+0.59