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31

Too Bossy For Us

5yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 88

Curragh · Friends Of The Curragh Irish Cesarewitch (0-110) (Premier Handicap) · 2m 170y

#23

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#23

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Shaped well when sixth to Comfort Zone in 2m Galway handicap in July. Again ran well when close third to Immutable at Leopardstown (13f) latest. Contrasting conditions will hold no fears and while weighted to be competitive, he'll need to settle better back up in trip. RESERVE

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA91 @ Curragh 28/09/2025 · Pos 24th of 30 · OR 91 · 2m170y Yie 128 · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 91 par28/0991OR 91C8 @ Punchestown 04/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 2m Sft 1661 @ Cheltenham 10/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 131 · 2m87y GS 161 · below its mark10/03/2026 · OR 131 par10/031OR 1311 @ Punchestown 28/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 140 · 2m132y Yie 166 · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 140 parBHA90 @ Curragh 03/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 90 · 1m6f Yie 124 · below its mark03/06/2026 · OR 90 par3/0690OR 90BHA88 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 88 · 2m76y Goo 128 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 88 parBHA87 @ Galway 27/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 20 · OR 87 · 2m179y Yie 159 · below its mark27/07/2026 · OR 87 par27/0787OR 871 @ Galway 30/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 20 · OR 138 · 2m11y Gd 151 · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 138 parBHA87 @ Leopardstown 12/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 21 · OR 87 · 1m5f Gd 124 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 87 par12/0987OR 87projClass-projected finish: 17th of 33
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12LeopardstownBHA873rd3rd0
2026-07-30Galway114th14th0
2026-07-27GalwayBHA876th6th0
2026-06-26CurraghBHA886th6th0
2026-06-03CurraghBHA906th6th0
2026-04-28Punchestown16th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0928/0427/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 3363% of fieldRange 4-27 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength56%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 33. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/09/202524th14/126%21%-0.06
04/02/20261st5/493%100%+0.07
10/03/20266th50/10%50%+0.50
28/04/20266th11/142%29%-0.14
03/06/20266th5/174%55%-0.19
26/06/20266th9/276%50%-0.26
27/07/20266th11/142%74%+0.32
30/07/202614th18/15%32%+0.26
12/09/20263rd11/142%90%+0.48