4
Margot Mae
2yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 75
Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Nursery Handicap · 7f
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Listowel | BHA75 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Curragh | BHA78 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Leopardstown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 29% | -0.14 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 22/09/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |