IvyArcIvyArc
2

Moon Sand

2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 77

Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Nursery Handicap · 7f

#9

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Went off big prices in 3 maidens and duly shaped as if being brought along with handicaps in mind. Remains open to improvement and is worth noting should the market speak in his favour now switched to nurseries.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 13316/08C8C8 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 13129/08C8C8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 13117/09C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?6th6th0
2026-08-29Curragh?9th9th0
2026-08-16Curragh?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0829/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +21.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20269th80/10%11%+0.11
29/08/20269th150/10%33%+0.33
17/09/20266th66/10%55%+0.55