1
Our Boy Bailey
2yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 80
Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Nursery Handicap · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Naas | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -20.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 17/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 27/07/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 17/09/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.17 |