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12

Somethingaboutlove

2yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 53

Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Nursery Handicap · 7f

#12

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★ Timeform

Commentary

Has looked limited in 3 starts to date and is hard to make a case for from 8 lb out of the weights on handicap bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f Goo 1202/09C8C8 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 5f180y Gd 1225/09C8C8 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f Goo 12621/09C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Fairyhouse?4th4th0
2026-09-05Navan?8th8th0
2026-09-02Navan?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/095/0921/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength48%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20266th66/10%29%+0.29
05/09/20268th100/10%42%+0.42
21/09/20264th40/10%40%+0.40