11

Supreme Act

2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 62

Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Nursery Handicap · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gelded and showed a bit more than previously when eighth of 13 on nursery debut at Naas (1m, good to soft) 10 days ago. However, he looks to be on a stiff mark and headgear is now added.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Down Royal 19/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 7f Sft 13019/06C8C8 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 7f195y Gd 1273/07C8C8 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 7f Yie 13031/07C8BHA65 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 65 · 1m Yie 133 · below its mark17/09/2026 · OR 65 par17/0965OR 65projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17NaasBHA658th8th0
2026-07-31Galway?11th11th0
2026-07-03Bellewstown?7th7th0
2026-06-19Down Royal?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/063/0731/0717/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -10.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/06/20268th28/10%42%+0.42
03/07/20267th40/10%25%+0.25
31/07/202611th150/10%29%+0.29
17/09/20268th12/137%42%+0.05