11

Supreme Act
2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 62
Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Nursery Handicap · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.5)
Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Naas | BHA65 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 11-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 03/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 31/07/2026 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 42% | +0.05 |