10

Two Brigade

2yo Colt · 8-11 · OR 65

Curragh · Kwiff More Bang For Your Bet Nursery Handicap · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

With the headgear discarded, 10/1, much improved second of 13 in nursery at Naas (1m, good to soft) 10 days ago, nearest finish. Big danger if repeating that but it's a concern that the cheekpieces are quickly refitted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 03/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f Sft 1333/04C8C8 @ Naas 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 5f205y Gd 1339/05C8C8 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f3y Gd 1333/07C8BHA70 @ Sligo 05/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 70 · 6f Yie 138 · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 70 par5/0870OR 70BHA68 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 68 · 5f180y Goo 127 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 68 par27/0868OR 68BHA64 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 64 · 1m Yie 132 · beat its mark17/09/2026 · OR 64 par17/0964OR 64projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17NaasBHA642nd2nd0
2026-08-27NavanBHA686th6th0
2026-08-05SligoBHA708th8th0
2026-07-03Bellewstown?6th6th0
2026-05-09Naas?5th5th0
2026-04-03Curragh?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/049/053/075/0827/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/20268th12/137%0%-0.37
09/05/20265th80/10%33%+0.33
03/07/20266th11/142%29%-0.14
05/08/20268th16/116%36%+0.21
27/08/20266th8/158%29%-0.29
17/09/20262nd10/147%92%+0.44