22
Bhean Saibhre
5yo Mare · 10-9 · OR 49
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 2f
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C9.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Dundalk | BHA49 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Kilbeggan | BHA105 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Ballinrobe | BHA103 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Limerick | BHA106 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | BHA108 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-15 | Kilbeggan | BHA108 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 2377% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 23. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 02/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 15/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 21/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 21/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 25/09/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 62% | +0.19 |