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13

Casheldale Lass

4yo Filly · 11-6 · OR 60

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 2f

#5

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Won twice in summer of 2025 fitted with cheekpieces. Just denied at Leopardstown in May and best effort since when third over hurdles at Wexford 6 weeks ago. Capable of getting involved from this sort of mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA57 @ Naas 05/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 57 · 1m2f84y Goo 137 · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 57 par5/0757OR 57BHA63 @ Listowel 22/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 63 · 1m3f15y Hvy 133 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 63 parBHA63 @ Killarney 06/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 63 · 1m30y Sft 133 · below its mark06/10/2025 · OR 63 par6/1063OR 63BHA62 @ Navan 25/04/2026 · Pos 16th of 23 · OR 62 · 1m2f40y Goo 132 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 62 parBHA61 @ Leopardstown 15/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 61 · 1m2f Gd 121 · beat its mark15/05/2026 · OR 61 par15/0561OR 61BHA64 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR 64 · 1m1f210y Gd 134 · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 64 parBHA63 @ Naas 24/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 63 · 1m2f194y Gd 133 · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 63 par24/0663OR 63C8 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 2m1f90y Gd 154C8 @ Wexford 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 2m190y Goo 1568/08C8projClass-projected finish: 10th of 23
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-08Wexford?3rd3rd0
2026-07-12Sligo?8th8th0
2026-06-24NaasBHA6312th12th0
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA648th8th0
2026-05-15LeopardstownBHA612nd2nd0
2026-04-25NavanBHA6216th16th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0725/0424/068/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 2355% of fieldRange 17-24 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 23. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
22/09/20256th12/137%58%+0.21
06/10/20257th14/126%40%+0.14
25/04/202616th14/126%32%+0.05
15/05/20262nd15/261%90%+0.29
28/05/20268th11/486%53%-0.32
24/06/202612th6/168%21%-0.47
12/07/20268th9/153%30%-0.23
08/08/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54