24
Cleopatra's Needle
8yo Mare · 10-7 · OR 47
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 2f
#18
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength27%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Gowran Park | BHA50 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | BHA109 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | BHA50 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA50 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Bellewstown | BHA110 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | BHA48 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish22nd of 235% of fieldRange 9-24 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 22nd of 23. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 10/07/2025 | 18th | 10/1 | 47% | 11% | -0.37 |
| 30/07/2025 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 95% | +0.58 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 27% | -0.52 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 84% | +0.84 |
| 12/08/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 21% | -0.26 |