8
Dark Summit
4yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 62
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 2f
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Galway | BHA70 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA73 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Ballinrobe | BHA77 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Leopardstown | BHA81 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | BHA84 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 2350% of fieldRange 12-24 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 23.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 15/03/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 03/04/2026 | 17th | 28/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 25/04/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 10/05/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 10% | -0.48 |
| 22/06/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 05/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 85% | +0.21 |