17
Dont Get Me Wrong
3yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 62
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 2f
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Newmarket | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | BHA64 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Roscommon | BHA66 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Dundalk | BHA68 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-28 | Dundalk | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-29 | Dundalk | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 2382% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 23. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 17/12/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 42% | -0.29 |
| 11/05/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |