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10

Fianna

5yo Mare · 11-8 · OR 62

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 2f

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dropped a fair way in the weights since last spring and she finally cashed in at Roscommon 40 days ago on second start for this yard. Back up 6 lb but she can be a factor again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Clonmel 05/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f130y Gd 1295/09C8C8 @ Gowran Park 02/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f130y Yie 130BHA69 @ Roscommon 12/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 69 · 1m4f46y Gd 139 · below its mark12/05/2025 · OR 69 par12/0569OR 69BHA66 @ Listowel 01/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 66 · 2m40y Goo 136 · beat its mark01/06/2025 · OR 66 parBHA65 @ Ballinrobe 23/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 65 · 1m5f9y Yie 135 · below its mark23/06/2025 · OR 65 par23/0665OR 65BHA63 @ Tramore 08/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 63 · 1m4f Gd 141 · beat its mark08/07/2025 · OR 63 parBHA61 @ Down Royal 18/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 61 · 1m5f Goo 135 · below its mark18/07/2025 · OR 61 par18/0761OR 61BHA57 @ Gowran Park 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 57 · 1m5f160y Sft 139 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 57 parBHA56 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 56 · 1m4f48y Goo 126 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 56 par18/0856OR 56projClass-projected finish: 4th of 23
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18RoscommonBHA561st1st0
2026-04-22Gowran ParkBHA577th7th0
2025-07-18Down RoyalBHA615th5th0
2025-07-08TramoreBHA633rd3rd0
2025-06-23BallinrobeBHA656th6th0
2025-06-01ListowelBHA665th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/091/0618/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 2395% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 23. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20244th9/153%67%+0.14
02/04/20255th6/168%69%+0.01
12/05/20259th11/142%38%-0.04
01/06/20255th6/168%69%+0.01
23/06/20256th5/174%62%-0.12
08/07/20253rd5/174%67%-0.07
18/07/20255th8/158%43%-0.15
22/04/20267th14/126%50%+0.24
18/08/20261st14/126%100%+0.74