7

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5yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 64
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 2f
#21
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#21
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 10.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Galway | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Punchestown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Naas | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 2332% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +9.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 23. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 30/04/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 18/05/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 01/06/2026 | 11th | 125/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/07/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 05/09/2026 | 17th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |