7

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5yo Gelding · 11-10 · OR 64

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 2f

#21

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#21

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair form in bumpers but well held in 4 Flat maidens. Handicaps more suitable though and he needs a market check given the yard he represents.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 10.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Naas 22/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m7f110y Hvy 16122/02C?C0 @ Punchestown 30/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 2m90y Yie 16130/04C?C8 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f63y Goo 14718/05C8C8 @ Gowran Park 01/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f120y Yie 1471/06C8C8 @ Galway 29/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 1m4f43y Yie 16629/07C8C8 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 17th of 21 · OR 61 · 1m2f10y Gd 140 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 61 par5/09C8OR 61projClass-projected finish: 22nd of 23
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Navan?17th17th0
2026-07-29Galway?10th10th0
2026-06-01Gowran Park?11th11th0
2026-05-18Roscommon?12th12th0
2026-04-30Punchestown?9th9th0
2026-02-22Naas?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0230/0418/051/0629/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 2332% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%

Delivery trend +9.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 23. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20262nd11/486%80%-0.06
30/04/20269th14/126%11%-0.15
18/05/202612th66/10%8%+0.08
01/06/202611th125/10%29%+0.29
29/07/202610th22/10%47%+0.47
05/09/202617th100/10%20%+0.20