18

Lamar Valley

3yo Filly · 11-3 · OR 62

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 2f

#20

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#20

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Looked a work-in-progress in her qualifying runs and appeals as the type to raise her game now handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f100y Yie 12912/06C8C8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m73y Yie 1291/08C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 1292/09C8projClass-projected finish: 12th of 23
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?8th8th0
2026-08-01Galway?6th6th0
2026-06-12Gowran Park?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/061/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 2364% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +17.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 23. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/202610th33/10%31%+0.31
01/08/20266th66/10%55%+0.55
02/09/20268th100/10%65%+0.65