15
Lamberella
3yo Filly · 11-5 · OR 64
Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 2f
#14
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA67 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | BHA67 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Leopardstown | BHA71 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Curragh | BHA74 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Limerick | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 2323% of fieldRange 12-24 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 18th of 23. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/09/2025 | 16th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 25/04/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 04/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 16/08/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 17% | +0.11 |