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14

Out On Friday

10yo Gelding · 11-6 · OR 60

Curragh · Kwiff Supercharged Betting (Q.R.) Handicap · 1m 2f

#17

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Made all in better company at Roscommon (1½m) last May. Ran better than for a while when fifth over the same C&D last month but taken on for the lead and was brushed aside at Cork 4 weeks ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA65 @ Galway 09/09/2025 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR 65 · 1m4f Sft 135 · below its mark09/09/2025 · OR 65 par9/0965OR 65BHA65 @ Gowran Park 20/09/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 65 · 1m1f100y Hvy 136 · below its mark20/09/2025 · OR 65 parBHA64 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 64 · 1m4f17y Yie 124 · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 64 par18/0564OR 64BHA63 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 63 · 1m1f210y Gd 133 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 63 parBHA65 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR 65 · 1m Yie 135 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 65 par10/0665OR 65BHA65 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 65 · 1m2f Goo 125 · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 65 parBHA63 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 63 · 1m6f14y Yie 133 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 63 par31/0763OR 63BHA62 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR 62 · 1m4f48y Goo 132 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 62 parBHA62 @ Cork 30/08/2026 · Pos 18th of 18 · OR 62 · 1m4f Yie 132 · below its mark30/08/2026 · OR 62 par30/0862OR 62projClass-projected finish: 20th of 23
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30CorkBHA6218th18th0
2026-08-18RoscommonBHA625th5th0
2026-07-31GalwayBHA6310th10th0
2026-07-16LeopardstownBHA657th7th0
2026-06-10LimerickBHA6514th14th0
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA632nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0928/0531/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 2336% of fieldRange 4-24 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength39%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 15th of 23. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/202513th7/163%29%-0.34
20/09/202515th16/116%7%-0.09
18/05/202611th20/10%0%0.00
28/05/20262nd20/10%93%+0.93
10/06/202614th25/10%7%+0.07
16/07/20267th40/10%25%+0.25
31/07/202610th50/10%47%+0.47
18/08/20265th10/147%73%+0.26
30/08/202618th33/10%0%0.00