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2yo Colt · 9-2 · OR 76

Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Turbo Boost' Nursery · 7f 3y

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

In need of the experience on debut and stepped forward from that effort when third of 10 in an interesting-looking novice over this C&D 17 days ago. Well-bred type and makes plenty of appeal sent handicapping on only his third start.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Kempton 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 7f Sta 130 · HIGHER CLASS19/0833 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS10/093projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Epsom Downs33rd2nd+1
2026-08-19Kempton33rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 6-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength32%

Delivery trend -64.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/20263rd40/10%82%+0.82
10/09/20263rd15/261%78%+0.17