Leucothea
2yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 71
Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Turbo Boost' Nursery · 7f 3y
#4
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 7.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 2 | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-08-22 | Newmarket | 2 | 12th | 10th | +2 |
| 2026-08-03 | Nottingham | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Newbury | 2 | 18th | 16th | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Goodwood | 3 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 07/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 18/07/2026 | 18th | 50/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 03/08/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 22/08/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 10/09/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |