
Rogue Imperial
2yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 78
Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Turbo Boost' Nursery · 7f 3y
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Brighton | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Lingfield | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Ffos Las | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lingfield | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | 2 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 43% | -0.41 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 01/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |