3

Rogue Imperial

2yo Colt · 9-4 · OR 78

Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Turbo Boost' Nursery · 7f 3y

#2

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Resumed progress when runner-up on nursery debut at Lingfield (6f, good to firm) in August. Didn't need to improve when going one better in 5-runner maiden at Brighton last time, though more required here back in a nursery. Bred to be suited by this extra 1f.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength59%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Yarmouth 20/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f3y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS20/0522 @ Lingfield 01/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS1/0624 @ Ffos Las 29/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 6f Goo 13329/0645 @ Lingfield 01/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 75 · 6f Goo 135 · beat its mark01/08/2026 · OR 75 par1/085OR 754 @ Brighton 24/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 77 · 5f215y Goo 133 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 77 par24/084OR 77projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Brighton41st1st0
2026-08-01Lingfield52nd3rd−1
2026-06-29Ffos Las47th7th0
2026-06-01Lingfield23rd1st+2
2026-05-20Yarmouth25th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/051/0629/061/0824/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +7.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/20265th3/184%43%-0.41
01/06/20263rd14/126%67%+0.40
29/06/20267th9/276%0%-0.76
01/08/20262nd6/168%83%+0.15
24/08/20261st15/890%100%+0.10