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2

Telegraphic

2yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 80

Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Turbo Boost' Nursery · 7f 3y

#3

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Much sharper than on debut when wide-margin winner of a Brighton novice in July. Good second at Yarmouth next time, before seeming unsuited by soft ground when well held in nursery at York on latest outing. Could fare better at this level.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength61%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 4
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f195y GF 13324/0644 @ Brighton 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR - · 6f210y GF 1337/0742 @ Yarmouth 02/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 82 · 7f3y GF 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 82 par2/082OR 822 @ York 20/08/2026 · Pos 17th of 18 · OR 82 · 7f GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2026 · OR 82 par20/082OR 82projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20York217th15th+2
2026-08-02Yarmouth22nd0th+2
2026-07-07Brighton41st1st0
2026-06-24Carlisle44th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/067/072/0820/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -19.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20264th18/15%70%+0.65
07/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
02/08/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02
20/08/202617th25/10%6%+0.06