4

Quite Cheeky

2yo Colt · 9-3

Epsom Downs · Betfred Derby 'Wild Card' EBF Conditions Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) · 1m 113y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

70,000 gns yearling, Teofilo colt who overcame inexperience to make a winning debut in 10-runner novice at this course (7f, good) earlier in the month, the trio completing the frame all having had a run. Upped in trip and seems sure to improve on that initial effort.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 2
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f3y Goo 13310/093
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Epsom Downs31st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20261st7/163%100%+0.37