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Maestro Del Mar

4yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 75

Epsom Downs · Hunt Family Fund Novice Stakes (Sponsored By Betfred) (GBB Race) · 1m 2f 17y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful colt who cemented his promising start for new yard when finishing a good second on handicap debut at Kempton (1½m) in August. Found life tougher back in novice grade against 3-y-os when fourth at Southwell since but this does look less demanding and booking of Billy Loughnane a plus

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Meydan 31/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f Fas 12631/01C5C5 @ Meydan 14/02/2025 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 7f Fas 12614/02C53 @ Goodwood 19/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f Goo 14219/0635 @ Kempton 12/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 70 · 1m3f219y Sta 142 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 70 par12/085OR 703 @ Southwell 03/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 76 · 1m4f15y Std 138 · beat its mark03/09/2026 · OR 76 par3/093OR 76projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Southwell34th4th0
2026-08-12Kempton52nd4th−2
2026-06-19Goodwood33rd3rd0
2025-02-14Meydan?10th12th−2
2025-01-31Meydan?7th9th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0114/0219/0612/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength93%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/01/20257th28/10%25%+0.25
14/02/202510th20/10%0%0.00
19/06/20263rd33/10%78%+0.78
12/08/20262nd3/184%89%+0.05
03/09/20264th16/116%50%+0.34