6
Seacole
3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 73
Epsom Downs · Hunt Family Fund Novice Stakes (Sponsored By Betfred) (GBB Race) · 1m 2f 17y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
81%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Windsor | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Kempton | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Ffos Las | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Yarmouth | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Nottingham | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.2% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |