Gordon Grey
6yo Gelding · 11-8 · OR 83
Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Nifty 50' Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap (Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 6y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Epsom Downs | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Epsom Downs | 2 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2026-05-09 | Ascot | 3 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Bahrain | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Bahrain | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/07/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 25/08/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/02/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 06/06/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 62% | +0.25 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |