Oasis Sunrise
4yo Filly · 10-7 · OR 68
Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Nifty 50' Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap (Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 6y
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Goodwood | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-28 | Goodwood | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-08-06 | Chepstow | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Ascot | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Chepstow | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Doncaster | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 90% | +0.14 |
| 29/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 06/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |