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11

Taritino

6yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 75

Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Nifty 50' Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap (Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 6y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Enjoyed a good spell over hurdles this spring and back on the Flat he recorded wins at Salisbury and Chester in June. Has continued in good heart since, running creditably when 2¼ lengths fourth of 12 to Boilermaker at Bath last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength58%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Taunton 22/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 94 · 2m3f1y Gd 152 · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 94 par22/044OR 944 @ Fontwell 14/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 101 · 2m3f29y Goo 161 · below its mark14/05/2026 · OR 101 par5 @ Bath 05/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 66 · 1m6f Gd 128 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 66 par5/065OR 664 @ Salisbury 14/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 67 · 1m4f5y Gd 125 · beat its mark14/06/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Chester 27/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 73 · 1m4f63y Goo 140 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 73 par27/065OR 734 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 77 · 1m3f211y GF 139 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 77 par4 @ Lingfield 04/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 77 · 1m6f GF 139 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 77 par4/084OR 774 @ Goodwood 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 76 · 1m6f Sft 131 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 76 par2 @ Bath 13/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 75 · 1m6f GS 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 75 par13/092OR 75projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Bath24th2nd+2
2026-08-29Goodwood46th6th0
2026-08-04Lingfield44th4th0
2026-07-25Ascot44th4th0
2026-06-27Chester51st2nd−1
2026-06-14Salisbury41st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0414/064/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength66%

Delivery trend +2.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/04/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
14/05/20266th5/174%29%-0.45
05/06/20262nd7/282%86%+0.04
14/06/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
27/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
25/07/20264th16/116%79%+0.63
04/08/20264th2/189%0%-0.89
29/08/20266th18/15%38%+0.32
13/09/20264th11/142%73%+0.31