IvyArcIvyArc
12

Zarakerjack

4yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 70

Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Nifty 50' Jump Jockeys Derby Handicap (Professional Jump Jockeys) (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 4f 6y

#12

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winner on the Flat at Newbury last spring. Performed with credit when 6¾ lengths fourth of 9 to King Of Berkshire at Windsor on return from 6-month absence, but this looks tougher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newbury 16/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR 63 · 1m2f Goo 130 · beat its mark16/05/2025 · OR 63 par16/055OR 635 @ Windsor 23/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 71 · 1m2f GF 132 · beat its mark23/06/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Epsom Downs 17/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 71 · 1m2f17y GF 132 · beat its mark17/07/2025 · OR 71 par17/075OR 715 @ Newmarket 08/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 73 · 1m2f Goo 133 · beat its mark08/08/2025 · OR 73 par5 @ Windsor 08/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR 72 · 1m3f99y Goo 134 · beat its mark08/09/2025 · OR 72 par8/095OR 725 @ Kempton 10/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 72 · 1m3f219y Sta 133 · beat its mark10/10/2025 · OR 72 par4 @ Kempton 24/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 2m Goo 15424/1142 @ Kempton 27/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 2m Gd 154 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Windsor 14/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 71 · 1m3f99y Goo 130 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 71 par14/094OR 71projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Windsor44th4th0
2026-03-13Fakenham40
2025-12-27Kempton23rd1st+2
2025-11-24Kempton42nd2nd0
2025-10-10Kempton53rd4th−1
2025-09-08Windsor54th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/058/0824/1114/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
23/06/20253rd3/184%33%-0.51
17/07/20252nd11/486%67%-0.19
08/08/20255th7/163%50%-0.13
08/09/20254th4/179%75%-0.04
10/10/20253rd15/261%78%+0.17
24/11/20252nd10/382%89%+0.06
27/12/20253rd7/282%75%-0.07
14/09/20264th33/10%63%+0.63