2

Rajeko
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 85
Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Bet Builder' Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 17y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kempton | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Goodwood | 3 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Newcastle | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-02-20 | Meydan | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Meydan | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-31 | Southwell | 2 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 4-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 19/12/2024 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 05/03/2025 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 83% | -0.08 |
| 31/10/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/01/2026 | 14th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/02/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 29/07/2026 | 17th | 33/1 | 0% | 16% | +0.16 |
| 04/09/2026 | 9th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |