Crown Office
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 82
Epsom Downs · Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap · 1m 113y
#6
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Haydock | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Nottingham | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ascot | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sandown | 3 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Newbury | 2 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2025-10-28 | Leicester | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 28/10/2025 | 1st | 8/15 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 17/04/2026 | 13th | 15/2 | 61% | 8% | -0.53 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 30/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 64% | -0.31 |