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8

Galileo Island

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 74

Epsom Downs · Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap · 1m 113y

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Completed a double in a 7f course handicap for Marco Botti last year. Changed hands for 34,000 gns and had been gelded prior to an underwhelming stable debut here earlier this month (hung left). Has a bit to prove back over 1m, having disappointed on his sole previous attempt.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Doncaster 19/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 70 · 7f6y Goo 133 · beat its mark19/07/2025 · OR 70 par19/075OR 705 @ Chelmsford City 21/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 70 · 7f Sta 133 · beat its mark21/08/2025 · OR 70 par4 @ Epsom Downs 28/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 79 · 7f3y Goo 135 · beat its mark28/09/2025 · OR 79 par28/094OR 794 @ Southwell 20/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 82 · 1m13y Std 135 · below its mark20/11/2025 · OR 82 par4 @ Kempton 10/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 82 · 7f Sta 135 · beat its mark10/12/2025 · OR 82 par10/124OR 824 @ Southwell 01/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 83 · 7f14y Std 135 · beat its mark01/01/2026 · OR 83 par4 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 80 · 7f6y GF 135 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 80 par20/064OR 804 @ Leicester 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 78 · 7f GF 135 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 78 par4 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 77 · 7f3y Goo 134 · below its mark10/09/2026 · OR 77 par10/094OR 77projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Epsom Downs49th9th0
2026-07-04Leicester43rd3rd0
2026-06-20Doncaster48th8th0
2026-01-01Southwell44th4th0
2025-12-10Kempton42nd2nd0
2025-11-20Southwell43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0720/1120/0610/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength37%

Delivery trend +3.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20252nd9/276%86%+0.09
21/08/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
28/09/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
20/11/20253rd6/492%33%-0.59
10/12/20252nd7/282%86%+0.04
01/01/20264th9/276%57%-0.19
20/06/20268th22/10%42%+0.42
04/07/20263rd16/116%67%+0.51
10/09/20269th22/10%0%0.00