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9

Play Me

4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 65

Epsom Downs · Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap · 1m 113y

#3

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Typically ridden patiently when doubling his tally for the year at this course (7f) last month. Still in good heart when 5½ lengths third over C&D last time. Probably needs a strong pace to hold his own back up in grade (races from 1 lb out of the handicap).

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lingfield 30/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 63 · 1m1y Std 133 · beat its mark30/04/2026 · OR 63 par30/046OR 636 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 63 · 7f Goo 134 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Lingfield 01/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 62 · 1m1y Std 132 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 62 par1/066OR 625 @ Brighton 09/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 62 · 7f216y Gd 127 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 62 par5 @ Epsom Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m113y GF 133 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 64 par9/075OR 644 @ Brighton 05/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 64 · 7f216y Goo 126 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 64 par5 @ Epsom Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 64 · 7f3y Goo 138 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 64 par14/085OR 644 @ Epsom Downs 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 66 · 7f3y GS 127 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Epsom Downs 10/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 66 · 1m113y Goo 129 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 66 par10/095OR 66projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Epsom Downs53rd4th−1
2026-08-31Epsom Downs44th4th0
2026-08-14Epsom Downs51st2nd−1
2026-08-05Brighton49th9th0
2026-07-09Epsom Downs55th6th−1
2026-06-09Brighton51st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/049/0614/0810/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength62%

Delivery trend -0.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/04/20263rd8/158%82%+0.24
19/05/20264th5/174%63%-0.11
01/06/20264th11/271%70%-0.01
09/06/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
09/07/20265th9/276%43%-0.33
05/08/20269th14/126%0%-0.26
14/08/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
31/08/20264th6/168%40%-0.28
10/09/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07