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4

Thanos

3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 82

Epsom Downs · Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' Handicap · 1m 113y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Strong-travelling/ground-versatile 3-y-o. Successful on 3 of his last 4 starts, forging clear to win on first start in open company at Chepstow (1m, soft) last time. Faces better opposition here, however, a 7-lb rise may not prove beyond him given his upwardly mobile profile.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength29%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Salisbury 13/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f Goo 13013/0844 @ Kempton 03/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f Sta 1306 @ Newcastle 30/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 53 · 7f14y Std 128 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 53 par30/096OR 535 @ Southwell 03/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 57 · 7f14y Std 124 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 57 par6 @ Doncaster 25/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 58 · 7f6y Goo 128 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 58 par25/046OR 586 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 58 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 58 par6 @ Chepstow 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 58 · 1m14y Goo 141 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 58 par29/056OR 585 @ Newbury 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 74 · 1m GF 135 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 74 par2 @ Chepstow 31/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR 74 · 1m14y Goo 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 74 par31/082OR 74projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Chepstow21st-1th+2
2026-07-02Newbury53rd4th−1
2026-05-29Chepstow61st3rd−2
2026-05-19Lingfield61st3rd−2
2026-04-25Doncaster62nd4th−2
2025-11-03Southwell52nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/083/1129/0531/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength70%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20257th22/10%40%+0.40
03/09/20259th40/10%20%+0.20
30/09/20252nd11/893%92%-0.01
03/11/20252nd6/594%83%-0.10
25/04/20262nd11/486%91%+0.05
19/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
29/05/20261st4/696%100%+0.04
02/07/20263rd7/491%33%-0.57
31/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26