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2

Bridget's View

4yo Filly · 9-13 · OR 78

Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap · 7f 3y

#3

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Creditable efforts back to back at Kempton on all-weather with hood and cheekpieces, finishing fifth of 9 32 days ago. Down slightly in grade here but not so consistent on turf.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 4
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 12/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 78 · 1m13y Std 130 · beat its mark12/12/2025 · OR 78 par12/124OR 783 @ Newcastle 22/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 88 · 1m5y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/01/2026 · OR 88 par2 @ Lingfield 27/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 87 · 7f1y Std 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 87 par27/022OR 872 @ Newcastle 03/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 87 · 7f14y Std 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 87 par3 @ Yarmouth 28/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 86 · 7f3y Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/04/2026 · OR 86 par28/043OR 864 @ Thirsk 31/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 84 · 7f218y Goo 141 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 84 par4 @ Newmarket 25/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 82 · 1m Goo 144 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 82 par25/064OR 824 @ Kempton 12/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 80 · 7f Sta 130 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 80 par4 @ Kempton 26/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 79 · 7f Sta 134 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 79 par26/084OR 79projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26Kempton45th5th0
2026-08-12Kempton45th5th0
2026-06-25Newmarket46th6th0
2026-05-31Thirsk47th7th0
2026-04-28Yarmouth37th6th+1
2026-04-03Newcastle28th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/123/0425/0626/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength76%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/12/20251st17/255%100%+0.45
22/01/20265th3/184%33%-0.51
27/02/20265th16/116%60%+0.44
03/04/20268th25/10%30%+0.30
28/04/20267th17/255%0%-0.55
31/05/20267th40/10%40%+0.40
25/06/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
12/08/20265th25/10%60%+0.60
26/08/20265th10/147%50%+0.03