10
Middleton View
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 62
Epsom Downs · Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap · 7f 3y
#10
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Yarmouth | 6 | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-06-22 | Brighton | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kempton | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-09 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Chelmsford City | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +6.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 10th | 17/2 | 55% | 25% | -0.30 |
| 18/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 11/01/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 11% | -0.71 |
| 26/02/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 33% | -0.27 |
| 09/03/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 01/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 22/06/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 0% | -0.55 |
| 17/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |