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7

Blue Point Express

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 45

Ffos Las · Alex And Salvo Welcome You To The Bridge Handicap · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Turned in best effort of the season after 9 weeks off when third of 11 at Chepstow (7f, soft) last month, the form best taken at face value for the time being even if she went it alone towards the far side. Needs to prove that wasn't a false dawn.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Chepstow 02/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 48 · 7f16y Sft 128 · beat its mark02/09/2025 · OR 48 par2/096OR 486 @ Bath 13/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 51 · 1m GS 130 · beat its mark13/09/2025 · OR 51 par6 @ Ffos Las 28/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 51 · 1m Hvy 125 · below its mark28/09/2025 · OR 51 par28/096OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 20/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 50 · 1m142y Std 125 · beat its mark20/10/2025 · OR 50 par6 @ Wolverhampton 03/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 49 · 7f36y Std 128 · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 49 par3/116OR 496 @ Leicester 25/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 48 · 7f Goo 128 · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Chepstow 15/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 46 · 6f16y Gd 121 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 46 par15/066OR 466 @ Ffos Las 30/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 45 · 7f80y Goo 135 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 45 par6 @ Chepstow 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 45 · 7f16y Goo 126 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 45 par31/086OR 45projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Chepstow63rd3rd0
2026-06-30Ffos Las64th4th0
2026-06-15Chepstow65th5th0
2026-05-25Leicester610th10th0
2025-11-03Wolverhampton66th6th0
2025-10-20Wolverhampton69th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/0920/1015/0631/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +7.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
13/09/20256th13/266%50%-0.16
28/09/20258th15/261%0%-0.61
20/10/20259th33/10%11%+0.11
03/11/20256th18/15%55%+0.49
25/05/202610th50/10%10%+0.10
15/06/20265th12/137%33%-0.04
30/06/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
31/08/20263rd16/116%80%+0.64