6
Great Success
3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 50
Ffos Las · Alex And Salvo Welcome You To The Bridge Handicap · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.6 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Southwell | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Southwell | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Leicester | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Carlisle | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Ripon | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength28%
Delivery trend +7.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 2/1 | 89% | 22% | -0.67 |
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 25/04/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 28/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 16/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 31/08/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |