12

Miss Gold
3yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 45
Ffos Las · Alex And Salvo Welcome You To The Bridge Handicap · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 3 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 9.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Ffos Las | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Lingfield | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 4 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Bath | 5 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2025-09-03 | Lingfield | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 10-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength7%
Delivery trend +3.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 13/06/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/06/2026 | 9th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/07/2026 | 9th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/08/2026 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |